probability

Prices reflect traders’ assessed probability of those events.

“We still expect the Fed to stay on hold in December, with markets currently pricing around 32% probability of a cut,” Danske Bank analysts said in a note.

The latest updates to the jobs report publishing schedule likely lowers probability of December rate cut, writes Michael Gapen, chief economist at Morgan Stanley.

“It’s a probability Adinkra symbol. When two chain links with a pure bond are touching each other, their collective path becomes visible,” Ama explains.

After today’s update, Gemini has a 92% implied probability of becoming the top large language model by the end of the year, according to Polymarket.