odds

The most dramatic change is in the odds of being admitted.

In recent weeks, Kalshi users also bet on how long the U.S. federal government shutdown would last, and the shifting odds were closely followed on Wall Street and in Washington, D.C.

So, although the odds are technically stacked in favour of a white Christmas, the detailed festive forecast for this year won't be confirmed for a while yet.

Reflecting that uncertainty, odds of a quarter-point cut have been swinging wildly.

Daly’s views are notable because, while she doesn’t have a vote on monetary policy this year, she has rarely taken a public position at odds with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.