Thesaurus / overconfident
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On a game-to-game basis, we can see that the model is generally calibrated well — even though it is somewhat overconfident in moderate-to-large favorites and a little underconfident in slight favorites.
HOW WELL DID OUR SPORTS PREDICTIONS HOLD UP DURING A YEAR OF CHAOS?NEIL PAINE (NEIL.PAINE@FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM)JUNE 8, 2021FIVETHIRTYEIGHTAfter going 3-0 against Washington during the regular season, maybe Philadelphia would be overconfident.
AFTER DISAPPEARING IN BOSTON, THE WIZARDS NEED TO REKINDLE THEIR MAGIC AGAINST INDIANATHOMAS M. BOSWELLMAY 19, 2021WASHINGTON POSTShe faced down the person she had been, especially as an overconfident college student who didn’t come out until several years after school.
EMILY FORD HIKED 1,200 MILES IN THE DEAD OF WINTERGRAYSON HAVER CURRINMAY 4, 2021OUTSIDE ONLINEBasically, I was like as if I were in one of these studies where I start off and I’m like, “I don’t know,” and then I get really overconfident, and then I do it a little more and then my confidence goes down.
WHY DO WE SEEK COMFORT IN THE FAMILIAR? (EP. 445)STEPHEN J. DUBNERDECEMBER 24, 2020FREAKONOMICSThe NFL can’t afford to be bullheaded, rigid and overconfident.
THE CORONAVIRUS HAS TURNED THE NFL INTO A JOKE, AND NOBODY SHOULD BE LAUGHINGJERRY BREWERNOVEMBER 30, 2020WASHINGTON POSTHe admits he was overconfident for such a big day—and it nearly cost him.
TRAINING FOR BIG-WAVE SURFING? IT'S ALL IN YOUR HEAD.KADE KRICHKONOVEMBER 22, 2020OUTSIDE ONLINEThey might not be right next time, of course — no analyst should get too overconfident in their predictions.
RESPECT THE HUSTLE, NOT THE STUPIDITYDANNY CRICHTONOCTOBER 22, 2020TECHCRUNCHNumerous incidents of a similar nature had made us overconfident.
THE ESCAPE OF A PRINCESS PATGEORGE PEARSONThe preliminary encounter was a mortifying experience for the sextet of overconfident youth.
THE DOOMSMANVAN TASSEL SUTPHENEither someone slipped up in his briefing, or the Reds are overconfident and don't care about the rules.
THE TIME TRADERSANDRE NORTONWORDS RELATED TO OVERCONFIDENT
Roget's 21st Century Thesaurus, Third Edition Copyright © 2013 by the Philip Lief Group.