pollster

Crucially, last night's result goes with the grain of everything we have been hearing about the trouble Labour is in across Wales - from pollsters, voters, rival parties and even figures within the party itself.

Here is how the pollsters More in Common put it:

Conventional wisdom seemingly won the day with pollsters, who largely ranked teams with experienced upperclassmen quarterbacks ahead of those with better underlying numbers, but signal callers with less game day experience.

“Its coalition is scattering all over the place,” says John Curtice, a pollster.

At another event, pollster Jonathan Jones of JL Partners began his presentation on the attitudes of voters under 40 with the ominous words: "Conservative Party members turn away now."